Sunday, April 28, 2024

Statistical "Laws"

I just realized it's the same fallacy -

To believe a statistical observation codified as "law" applies in every situation.

This is the intellectual cause of discrimination and bias, and it is also the same mistake made by people who don't believe magic is possible.

Interesting huh.

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also a comment I wrote around the same time:

*from a subjective perspective*, when all you need is N=1, frequentist probabilities make a lot less sense, and noise from the long tail dominate.

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