Thursday, September 15, 2022
投資
Sunday, September 11, 2022
Beliefs
Given a subjective interpretation of reality, can we show that some beliefs cannot be identified as encodings in physical reality?
My gut feeling is that the answer is likely yes, and even if the answer is not as interesting as I thought it would be, the process of exploring it would yield interesting results.
For example, if we had a machine that, somehow purported to accurately decipher your brain neurons and tell you what you (objectively) believed, what would it be like?
Perhaps there would be instances in which the machine would claim you believed in X, but you actually believe you honestly believe in Y. Assuming the machine is really reliable due to some physical law or whatever... is this possible to have a belief that isn't encoded in physical reality, something that the machine cannot detect or will contradict you? This might be a parallel with free will vs determinism, in the objective interpretation of reality the two might not be that different, but in the subjective interpretation, beliefs seem to have more power than mere "will".
Perhaps it is useful to imagine something slightly different -- a machine that can tell you what color you perceive. It doesn't do so by just asserting the colors it displays on the screen, but rather, in addition to displaying colors on the screen, probe into your brain to try to figure out which neurons are firing. Is it possible for such a machine to misreport what you perceive?
This goes back to the question of whether we perceive the color "red" in the same way. While most people (those without a colorblind situation) can usually agree whether an object is objectively "red", there seems to be nothing physical that ensures one's perception of "red" is the same as another's. What if there is the same thing for belief?
Another funny thing about the a "belief probe" is that it might actually be able to probe the brain for "beliefs", and might actually be accurate in doing so for the overall person. But if it were only one belief, it might still not be able to accurately probe the subjective beliefs within a person. What if multiple "consciousnesses", with conflicting beliefs, were within the same physical body (as in the case of multiple personality disorders). The "tsundere" factor might also come into play, where while the probe might accurately predict behaviors, the subjective consciousness might dismiss it as superficial, because thoughts might not necessarily translate to concrete action. Is it necessary for a mere subjective feeling to always have a physical basis?
There is also the issue of meta beliefs, i.e. "belief of belief of belief ... ". Do they complicate the picture? I don't know.
It feels as if sorting this out properly could make way for identifying room that metaphysical entities might theoretically reside, if they exist.
Saturday, September 10, 2022
舊酒新瓶
本身我唔係好跟時事,舊年 NFT 熱潮推到癲瘋嗰陣,有朋友問起,我先臨急抱佛腳走去望咗兩望究竟係咩嚟。NFT 技術上大概係乜我就有少少頭緒,不過實際上點解會有人肯為咗個 token 俾成千上萬,我就一直都唔明。雖則話 crypto 嗰排水浸,有班暴發戶亂咁揈錢,但我心諗都未至於解釋得晒成個熱潮嘛?
直至最近,諗起傳統 fine art 市場。
點解一幅「名畫」可以值幾百萬?本身搵個畫師臨摹,貴極都唔使嗰個價,隨時搵個夠撩倒嘅,一千幾百有找。啲「名畫」嘅價值其實都唔係在於藝術品實物,而係作品背後嘅「故事」。咩「X畫家唯一傳世真跡」、「Y畫家臨終時最後作品」,呢啲喺外人眼中都係虛無縹緲嘅嘢,支撐咗啲「名畫」大部份嘅「價值」。大家都相信佢好值好貴,所以就值好貴。
睇返呢啲吹水嘢,同 NFT 比較,真係完全冇分別。
至於 NFT 係咪呃人,就好似我畫張圖,我話佢賣一千蚊,咁係咪呃你?
《勇者打怪圖》筆者畫 |
都係願者上釣㗎啫。
如果我話「遲啲市價會更貴,有人會用一萬蚊買㗎」咁就真係呃鳩你喇。
Thursday, September 8, 2022
「教主」
好似啱啱出咗 https://stevejobsarchive.com/
我 2010 年入公司,嗰陣佢已經係*唔知乜*末期,已將大部份工作交咗俾 Tim Apple。Tim 處事四平八穩,聽聞以前死鬼老細啲 all hands meeting 多啲有趣嘢聽 (同埋以前公司細啲,人少少冇咁拘謹)。冇機會見識,回想返都幾可惜。
第一次同佢有比較深刻嘅接觸,已經係公司為佢舉辦嘅紀念活動。(一時搵唔到官方嘅嘢,可能刪咗?老翻片喺度 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ApnZTL-AspQ )本身我對佢冇咩認知,見坊間啲人對佢評價兩極,覺得好不可思議。由於同我有比較切身關係,偶然都會留意下或自己搵下資料睇下係咩一回事。
所以就有早幾個月嘅體會。死鬼老細最出名係做蘋果同Pixar CEO,不過以打機嘅「職階」計算,佢應該歸類為「先知」。睇返佢以前嘅訪問,睇得出佢收收埋埋啲學識都好得人驚。正所謂「愛就係選擇」,佢只不過選擇咗搞 consumer electronics 咁解。