soap

呢幾日學咗點整手工梘

又係啲中學化學知識忽然變得有用嘅時刻

有個好奇怪嘅現像，就係啲人覺得靈界訊息一定係準。

呢啲嘢，同你上連登講股台事但搵個9upper信佢信到十足個情況一樣。

Simulation theory 2

 This is a gem.

Especially if we substitute "we" with "I".

Two past selves battling in the present

- https://existentialcomics.com/comic/13

Existential comics have always had good content before they devolved into tropes. "How to quit smoking" was a rather deep story about what "will power" means in the context of smoking.

I think the missing piece in the paradox is that, while the comic correctly identifies that the smoker was struggling with his "past", specifically his past who had an idle thought about it being nice to quit smoking some time in the future -- but the thing it missed is that the *addiction* is also a thing of the past as well.

So the real struggle is not the present self who wants to smoke vs the past self who "decided" to quit -- it is more like the past addiction struggling with a past decision to quit.  The past struggling with each other, in the present.

But that clearly doesn't make sense. The past doesn't exist.  The past decision and past addiction are only projections of our idea that the past exists and that we identify with the flawed personality we remember in the past.

Once we get through the illusions, it's clear that our present self is still in control. The influence of the past is only as much as we identify with the past.  It's not so much as a question of will, than of a question of "which self" we want to identify with -- but that's a misnomer, because we don't necessarily have to identify with a past self at all.

Noise, Signal and Correlation in Democratic Politics

It's straightforward to observe that good decisions can be made in noisy situations as long as the noise in general cancel out and the signal permeates through the noise.

This was basically the case before the Internet and online social media, where communities were relatively small, generally opposing views cancelled each other out, and the learned elite were networked enough that their views became the majority most of the time.

These days noise is becoming false signals because they are so inter-correlated by the internet and online social media. The system is not supposed to work as it did.

Emergency Exit as a fundamental law

This is one example where the book echos what I write.

Essentially it says -- heaven is eternal and unchanging, but if you somehow wanted to travel to hell out of your free will, you could -- but you could never shut off the path to return to heaven.

https://hnfong.github.io/public-crap/writings/2024/07-Simulation.html  

港股

發現港股只需睇一樣嘢：資產負債表。主要係負債表。

買港股你都唔係諗住間公司短期業績有咩大增長㗎啦，但息口(USD)係咁升喎。所以望住 (1) 間公司有冇負債 (2) 呢兩年負債有冇多到，基本上就可以預見佢呢幾年收唔收得皮。

而家美股貴到痴線，歐洲夕陽緊，得中港股可以中長線投資，但望住港股真係得返 cigar butt 玩法，真係幾無奈⋯